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The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +23.59$

Invest 37.21$

Average return 60.81$

ROI +63.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 93.40 $, profit at most −32.59 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

27.70 $

at 3.08

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0237

9.52 $

at 9.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.21 $ +23.59 (+63.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

24.62 $

at 3.08

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

6.52 $

at 6.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0237

9.52 $

at 9.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.66 $ +21.20 (+52.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

21.54 $

at 3.08

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

13.04 $

at 6.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0237

9.52 $

at 9.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.10 $ +18.80 (+42.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

18.46 $

at 3.08

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

19.57 $

at 6.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0237

9.52 $

at 9.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47.55 $ +16.40 (+34.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

15.39 $

at 3.08

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

26.09 $

at 6.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0237

9.52 $

at 9.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.99 $ +14.00 (+27.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

124.44 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40.13 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41.60 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

70.04 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

111.24 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.60 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.82 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2525890 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 23.87$ · invest 31.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New); StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075973
Craft 2526807 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 23.76$ · invest 34.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New); StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075456 instead of 0.075973
Craft 2526052 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 23.35$ · invest 33.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Stinger (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New); StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075973
Craft 2526470 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 23.33$ · invest 36.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New); StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075973
Craft 2521365 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 22.38$ · invest 33.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New); StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076343 instead of 0.075973

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build