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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +278.68₴

Invest 553.10₴

Average return 831.79₴

ROI +50.4%

Chance of profit 54%

With float: invest at least 1 377.78 ₴, profit at most −545.99 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

15.54 ₴

at 15.54

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

78.15 ₴

at 39.08

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

459.41 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 553.10 ₴ +278.68 (+50.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 46%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

320.44 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

867.57 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

1 020.06 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

366.15 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 656.75 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.013137

80.15 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

167.78 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.013725

208.03 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.014901

237.77 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

55.07 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 only The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +104.74 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +264.70 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528504 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 303.90₴ · invest 597.58₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074334 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003792 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2528851 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 297.15₴ · invest 626.91₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074432 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003878 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2528656 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 292.51₴ · invest 599.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003925 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2528749 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 285.54₴ · invest 588.22₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003925 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2521420 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 282.76₴ · invest 580.46₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003925 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2528284 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 281.13₴ · invest 594.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074417 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003865 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2528376 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 280.62₴ · invest 558.36₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074672 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2528235 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 279.35₴ · invest 577.56₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003925 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2528151 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 276.86₴ · invest 560.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2528530 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 275.71₴ · invest 576.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074593 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004019 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2528702 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 274.91₴ · invest 606.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003925 instead of 0.003994
Craft 2522482 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 274.47₴ · invest 598.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074564; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003925 instead of 0.003994

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build