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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −161.11$

Invest at least 469.28$

Average return 308.17$

ROI −34.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 469.28 $, profit at most −161.11 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −176 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

8.33 $

at 8.33

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

151.51 $

at 18.94

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

27.25 $

at 27.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.10 $ +121.07 (+64.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −155 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

16.66 $

at 8.33

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

132.57 $

at 18.94

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

27.25 $

at 27.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.48 $ +109.64 (+62.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −133 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

24.98 $

at 8.33

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

113.63 $

at 18.94

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

27.25 $

at 27.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.87 $ +98.20 (+59.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −68 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

49.97 $

at 8.33

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

56.82 $

at 18.94

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

27.25 $

at 27.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 134.04 $ +63.90 (+47.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

488.90 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270.60 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

143.78 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

108.65 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +62.29 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +100.54 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528344 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 133.48$ · invest 196.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −197 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.005219
Craft 2528147 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 131.66$ · invest 188.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −185 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2521441 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 129.16$ · invest 193.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −194 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074079 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003569 instead of 0.005219
Craft 2528789 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 128.25$ · invest 196.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −196 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076567 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005746 instead of 0.005219
Craft 2528229 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 127.71$ · invest 193.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −194 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.005219
Craft 2517418 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 126.62$ · invest 201.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −201 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2528650 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 124.96$ · invest 186.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −186 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2528550 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 123.88$ · invest 194.92$
profit on prices without salesat least −195 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2528205 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 121.05$ · invest 197.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −176 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.075965; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.003833 instead of 0.005219

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build