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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −599.95₴

Invest at least 1 193.51₴

Average return 593.56₴

ROI −50.3%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 1 193.51 ₴, profit at most −599.95 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

46.62 ₴

at 15.54

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

153.78 ₴

at 51.26

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

313.16 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 513.55 ₴ +80.01 (+15.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

62.16 ₴

at 15.54

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

153.78 ₴

at 51.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

234.87 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 450.80 ₴ +73.50 (+16.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 65%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.041184

400.76 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073684

605.00 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.062631

2 390.02 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

290.44 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.061710

80.15 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

44.06 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.064473

208.03 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

237.77 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

55.07 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Falchion Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.83 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +56.30 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2533030 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 91.68₴ · invest 599.55₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162643 instead of 0.161603; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074397 instead of 0.074036
Craft 2522260 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 86.61₴ · invest 595.03₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161970 instead of 0.161603; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.074036
Craft 2528854 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 85.47₴ · invest 625.07₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161533 instead of 0.161603; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074036
Craft 2527676 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 81.37₴ · invest 576.30₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New): float at most 0.004327 instead of 0.003531; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164220 instead of 0.161603; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074946 instead of 0.074036

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build