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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +20 947.77₽

Invest 38 991.82₽

Average return 59 939.59₽

ROI +53.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 95 645.47 ₽, profit at most −35 705.88 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −30 269.86 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

1 598.11 ₽

at 1 598.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

30 735.06 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38 991.82 ₽ +20 947.77 (+53.7%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

3 196.22 ₽

at 1 598.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

25 612.55 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35 467.42 ₽ +18 835.97 (+53.1%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

4 794.33 ₽

at 1 598.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

20 490.04 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 943.02 ₽ +16 724.18 (+52.4%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

6 392.44 ₽

at 1 598.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

15 367.53 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28 418.62 ₽ +14 612.38 (+51.4%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

7 990.55 ₽

at 1 598.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

10 245.02 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 894.22 ₽ +12 500.58 (+50.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

116 139.75 ₽ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

19 934.82 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

12 070.49 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

9 121.28 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18 918.53 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20 419.09 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

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How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build