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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +149.87₽

Invest 729.19₽

Average return 879.06₽

ROI +20.6%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 1 739.88 ₽, profit at most −860.82 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3843

128.84 ₽

at 64.42

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

468.35 ₽

at 93.67

Steam

×3

Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

132.00 ₽

at 44.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 729.19 ₽ +149.87 (+20.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

85.90 ₽

at 85.90

Steam

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

93.67 ₽

at 93.67

Steam

×8

Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

352.00 ₽

at 44.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 531.57 ₽ +139.47 (+26.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 53%
About break-even 23%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

650.38 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

1 973.34 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

839.63 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

687.72 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

795.28 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

545.03 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.94 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +110.95 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build