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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +68.50₴

Invest 407.01₴

Average return 475.51₴

ROI +16.8%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 989.90 ₴, profit at most −514.38 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3850

69.08 ₴

at 34.54

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

301.35 ₴

at 50.22

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

36.58 ₴

at 18.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 407.01 ₴ +68.50 (+16.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3843

69.08 ₴

at 34.54

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

251.12 ₴

at 50.22

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

60.43 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 380.64 ₴ +63.50 (+16.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3840

34.54 ₴

at 34.54

Steam

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

150.67 ₴

at 50.22

Steam

×6

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

120.87 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 306.08 ₴ +43.94 (+14.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 27%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

348.73 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

1 058.08 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

450.20 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Vogue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

298.78 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109499

282.15 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

193.67 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.38 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +46.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528196 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 77.73₴ · invest 437.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384499 instead of 0.385061; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164783 instead of 0.166630
Craft 2528607 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 72.97₴ · invest 411.18₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383872 instead of 0.385061; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162723 instead of 0.166630
Craft 2528160 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 72.83₴ · invest 408.87₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested) instead of nothing; XM1014 | Entombed: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383847 instead of 0.385061; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162640 instead of 0.166630; MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162640 instead of 0.166630
Craft 2524748 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 72.48₴ · invest 424.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383941 instead of 0.385061; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162950 instead of 0.166630
Craft 2528756 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 71.64₴ · invest 413.32₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385567 instead of 0.385061; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168294 instead of 0.166630
Craft 2528389 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 70.80₴ · invest 376.14₴
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384355 instead of 0.385061; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164311 instead of 0.166630
Craft 2528569 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 59.01₴ · invest 449.80₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested), MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): 1 pcs instead of 2; P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383699 instead of 0.385061; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 6; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162154 instead of 0.166630

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build