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The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −111.15₴

Invest at least 214.81₴

Average return 103.67₴

ROI −51.7%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 214.81 ₴, profit at most −111.15 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

15.54 ₴

at 15.54

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4865

40.34 ₴

at 6.72

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

35.39 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.28 ₴ +12.39 (+13.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3852

31.09 ₴

at 15.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

18.42 ₴

at 18.42

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4912

33.62 ₴

at 6.72

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

23.59 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.72 ₴ +3.81 (+3.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

67.54 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

305.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

69.12 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

61.48 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

72.54 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227999

86.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

59.12 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.197599

421.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

117.16 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.333799

89.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 only The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.68 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.57 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2530811 · The Gallery Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 13.74₴ · invest 86.44₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)
Craft 2533406 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 13.66₴ · invest 90.12₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479802 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162462 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2533407 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 13.45₴ · invest 90.12₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)
Craft 2533610 · The Genesis Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 13.12₴ · invest 91.15₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)
Craft 2533667 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 12.69₴ · invest 87.24₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477560 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161525 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2531746 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 12.65₴ · invest 83.51₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build