to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +154.41₽

Invest 413.00₽

Average return 567.41₽

ROI +37.4%

Chance of profit 94%

With float: invest at least 980.64 ₽, profit at most −413.23 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

57.98 ₽

at 57.98

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

150.30 ₽

at 30.06

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

204.72 ₽

at 51.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 413.00 ₽ +154.41 (+37.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

184.64 ₽

at 46.16

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

57.98 ₽

at 57.98

Steam

×3

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

83.73 ₽

at 27.91

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

102.36 ₽

at 51.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 428.71 ₽ +37.30 (+8.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

92.32 ₽

at 46.16

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

57.98 ₽

at 57.98

Steam

×4

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

111.64 ₽

at 27.91

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

153.54 ₽

at 51.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 415.48 ₽ +101.23 (+24.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 94%
Losing outcome 4%
About break-even 2%

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

714.38 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.067529

714.66 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

615.99 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.049411

515.33 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

159.56 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.042823

724.17 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

457.96 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.181999

93.67 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.41 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +117.16 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2527250 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 168.32₽ · invest 376.49₽
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076664 instead of 0.076768; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005831 instead of 0.005922
Craft 2539129 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 166.72₽ · invest 387.85₽
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.076768; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005764 instead of 0.005922
Craft 2536662 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 163.48₽ · invest 378.33₽
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076767 instead of 0.076768; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005921 instead of 0.005922
Craft 2532660 · The Gamma Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 161.87₽ · invest 398.49₽
P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075283 instead of 0.076768; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004622 instead of 0.005922
Craft 2539143 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 161.77₽ · invest 397.96₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.076768; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005764 instead of 0.005922
Craft 2539115 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 161.62₽ · invest 395.27₽
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.076768; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005764 instead of 0.005922
Craft 2525198 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 158.53₽ · invest 392.02₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075500 instead of 0.076768; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004813 instead of 0.005922
Craft 2517723 · The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 152.02₽ · invest 403.29₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.076768; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005764 instead of 0.005922

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build