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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +234.91₴

Invest 669.95₴

Average return 904.86₴

ROI +35.1%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 1 594.97 ₴, profit at most −690.11 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

351.57 ₴

at 50.22

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

103.05 ₴

at 103.05

Steam

×2

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

215.32 ₴

at 107.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 669.95 ₴ +234.91 (+35.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

200.90 ₴

at 50.22

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

98.66 ₴

at 98.66

Steam

×5

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

864.66 ₴

at 172.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 164.22 ₴ +107.23 (+9.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

348.73 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

1 058.08 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

450.20 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Crakow!

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2 045.67 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 002.87 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +80.56 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +189.36 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2539150 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 233.82₴ · invest 1 139.17₴
rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161834 instead of 0.161670; AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161834 instead of 0.161670

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build