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The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +81.45$

Invest 59.46$

Average return 140.91$

ROI +137.0%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 149.46 $, profit at most −8.55 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

4.71 $

at 4.71

Steam

×1

AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

5.85 $

at 5.85

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

48.91 $

at 6.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.46 $ +81.45 (+137.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

14.12 $

at 4.71

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

40.00 $

at 10.00

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

6.11 $

at 6.11

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2584

15.13 $

at 7.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.36 $ +9.20 (+12.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

88.58 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

257.11 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

75.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

54.65 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 only The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +61.87 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +76.69 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2532040 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 87.11$ · invest 67.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested)
Craft 2540449 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 81.39$ · invest 62.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested); AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383628 instead of 0.383950; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161923 instead of 0.162981
Craft 2540478 · The Prisma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 81.24$ · invest 63.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build