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The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −228.79₴

Invest at least 540.88₴

Average return 312.09₴

ROI −42.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 540.88 ₴, profit at most −228.79 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

31.09 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

×4

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

38.13 ₴

at 9.53

Steam

×5

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

155.28 ₴

at 31.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 224.50 ₴ +87.59 (+39.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

62.18 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

17.00 ₴

at 17.00

Steam

×7

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

142.63 ₴

at 20.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.80 ₴ +75.83 (+34.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

49.50 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

93.26 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

×2

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

19.07 ₴

at 9.53

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

61.13 ₴

at 20.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.96 ₴ +31.27 (+14.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

24.75 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

62.18 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

33.99 ₴

at 17.00

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

101.88 ₴

at 20.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.80 ₴ +60.36 (+27.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

49.50 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

124.35 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

×3

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

28.60 ₴

at 9.53

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

20.38 ₴

at 20.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.83 ₴ +16.93 (+7.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 4%
About break-even 62%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

604.74 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

float up to 0.062533

259.07 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

262.82 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

276.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

85.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.048533

388.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

245.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187599

50.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +45.51 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +70.21 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2523923 · The Clutch Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 88.73₴ · invest 211.11₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2540772 · The Radiant Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 88.70₴ · invest 210.13₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165208 instead of 0.165131; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004628 instead of 0.004605
Craft 2540756 · The Radiant Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 88.67₴ · invest 210.50₴
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2517805 · The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 86.31₴ · invest 219.30₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164838 instead of 0.165131; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004516 instead of 0.004605
Craft 2539917 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 85.38₴ · invest 215.92₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165008 instead of 0.165131; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004567 instead of 0.004605
Craft 2540784 · The Radiant Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 83.94₴ · invest 223.34₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164838 instead of 0.165131; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004516 instead of 0.004605

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build