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The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +274.90₴

Invest 606.21₴

Average return 881.11₴

ROI +45.4%

Chance of profit 59%

With float: invest at least 1 492.48 ₴, profit at most −611.37 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

78.15 ₴

at 39.08

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

459.41 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

68.64 ₴

at 68.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 606.21 ₴ +274.90 (+45.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −235 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

31.59 ₴

at 31.59

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

131.26 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

480.50 ₴

at 68.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 643.35 ₴ +66.03 (+10.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −300 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

31.59 ₴

at 31.59

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

65.63 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

549.14 ₴

at 68.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 646.36 ₴ +34.39 (+5.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 57%
Losing outcome 41%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

320.44 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

867.57 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

1 020.06 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

366.15 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 656.75 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.017646

1 350.53 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

318.46 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.012156

500.26 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.017646

698.85 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 only The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +91.36 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +259.94 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528504 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 303.90₴ · invest 597.58₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074334 instead of 0.074486; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003792 instead of 0.003925
Craft 2528851 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 297.15₴ · invest 626.91₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074432 instead of 0.074486; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003878 instead of 0.003925
Craft 2528656 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 292.51₴ · invest 599.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2528749 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 285.54₴ · invest 588.22₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2521420 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 282.76₴ · invest 580.46₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2528284 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 281.13₴ · invest 594.21₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074417 instead of 0.074486; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003865 instead of 0.003925
Craft 2528376 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 280.62₴ · invest 558.36₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074672 instead of 0.074486; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.003925
Craft 2528235 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 279.35₴ · invest 577.56₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2526829 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 278.68₴ · invest 553.10₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074564 instead of 0.074486; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003994 instead of 0.003925
Craft 2528151 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 276.86₴ · invest 560.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.074486; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.003925
Craft 2528530 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 275.71₴ · invest 576.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074593 instead of 0.074486; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004019 instead of 0.003925
Craft 2522482 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 274.47₴ · invest 598.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build