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The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +289.07₴

Invest 650.81₴

Average return 939.88₴

ROI +44.4%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 1 631.52 ₴, profit at most −691.64 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

31.59 ₴

at 31.59

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

525.04 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

94.19 ₴

at 94.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 650.81 ₴ +289.07 (+44.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

39.08 ₴

at 39.08

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

459.41 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

188.37 ₴

at 94.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 686.86 ₴ +283.17 (+41.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −670 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

262.52 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

376.75 ₴

at 94.19

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Plume

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

368.74 ₴

at 184.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 008.00 ₴ +82.63 (+8.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −466 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

328.15 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

376.75 ₴

at 94.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Plume

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

184.37 ₴

at 184.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 889.26 ₴ +171.22 (+19.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

320.44 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

867.57 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

1 020.06 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

366.15 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 656.75 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

2 116.88 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.013725

1 060.51 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

1 365.72 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

1 271.32 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

1 150.12 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 only The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +98.04 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +270.78 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2524738 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 265.39₴ · invest 571.12₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075717 instead of 0.074791; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.005002 instead of 0.004192
Craft 2520375 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 263.46₴ · invest 585.92₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075434 instead of 0.074791; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004755 instead of 0.004192

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build