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The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +74.66₴

Invest 179.86₴

Average return 254.52₴

ROI +41.5%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 445.93 ₴, profit at most −191.40 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

24.75 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×8

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

133.53 ₴

at 16.69

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

21.58 ₴

at 21.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.86 ₴ +74.66 (+41.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

148.50 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×3

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

50.07 ₴

at 16.69

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

21.58 ₴

at 21.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 220.16 ₴ +70.30 (+31.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

718.67 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

297.19 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

158.50 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

83.93 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

163.91 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

276.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

875.07 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

388.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

245.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

50.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +33.77 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58.53 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2531425 · The Gallery Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 75.03₴ · invest 172.96₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2523040 · The Chroma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 72.98₴ · invest 190.80₴
M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2529649 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 71.36₴ · invest 162.11₴
P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075728 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005012 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2519006 · The CS20 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 71.26₴ · invest 175.81₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2536998 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 70.70₴ · invest 161.07₴
UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074787 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.004189 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2530513 · The Fracture Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 70.57₴ · invest 161.07₴
Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074665 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.004082 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2539649 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 69.28₴ · invest 181.92₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079967 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.008721 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2541552 · The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 69.18₴ · invest 161.05₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074555 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.003985 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2541189 · The Recoil Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 68.28₴ · invest 163.35₴
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build