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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +13 339.32₸

Invest 15 651.45₸

Average return 28 990.76₸

ROI +85.2%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 36 211.33 ₸, profit at most −7 220.57 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

1 512.20 ₸

at 504.07

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

5 946.33 ₸

at 1 189.27

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

8 192.92 ₸

at 4 096.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 651.45 ₸ +13 339.32 (+85.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

1 008.13 ₸

at 504.07

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

5 946.33 ₸

at 1 189.27

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

12 289.37 ₸

at 4 096.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 243.84 ₸ +12 502.47 (+65.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2 489.33 ₸

at 2 489.33

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

7 135.60 ₸

at 1 189.27

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

12 289.37 ₸

at 4 096.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 914.31 ₸ +12 587.55 (+57.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

462.25 ₸

at 462.25

Steam

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

4 032.53 ₸

at 504.07

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

912.88 ₸

at 912.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 407.66 ₸ +7 049.82 (+130.4%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 799.34 ₸ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 892.74 ₸ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 932.43 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

10 619.13 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 920.21 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8 042.72 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10 767.76 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2541682 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 15 295.63₸ · invest 12 392.64₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161797 instead of 0.163457; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.003590 instead of 0.004095
Craft 2521142 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 12 704.09₸ · invest 16 181.77₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161505 instead of 0.163457; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.003501 instead of 0.004095

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build