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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +74 243.97₸

Invest 154 095.46₸

Average return 228 339.43₸

ROI +48.2%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 375 119.29 ₸, profit at most −146 779.86 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −146 487 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

10 920.21 ₸

at 10 920.21

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

20 106.89 ₸

at 5 026.72

Steam

×5

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

123 068.36 ₸

at 24 613.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154 095.46 ₸ +74 243.97 (+48.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 455 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

9 036.60 ₸

at 4 518.30

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

54 601.05 ₸

at 10 920.21

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

15 080.17 ₸

at 5 026.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78 717.82 ₸ +48 121.49 (+61.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −103 882 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

32 760.63 ₸

at 10 920.21

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

20 106.89 ₸

at 5 026.72

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

73 841.02 ₸

at 24 613.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126 708.54 ₸ +67 797.50 (+53.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −82 579 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

43 680.84 ₸

at 10 920.21

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

20 106.89 ₸

at 5 026.72

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

49 227.34 ₸

at 24 613.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113 015.08 ₸ +64 574.26 (+57.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −61 277 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

54 601.05 ₸

at 10 920.21

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

20 106.89 ₸

at 5 026.72

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

24 613.67 ₸

at 24 613.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99 321.62 ₸ +61 351.08 (+61.8%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

282 044.55 ₸ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

94 617.39 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 387.79 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +37 014.12 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58 112.13 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2542011 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 80 072.80₸ · invest 147 953.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −145 629 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162397 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.003773 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2539760 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 76 226.04₸ · invest 149 178.09₸
profit on prices without salesat least −144 504 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2518037 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 76 099.44₸ · invest 154 723.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −150 485 ₸ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2538876 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 75 734.51₸ · invest 166 007.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −166 008 ₸ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166586 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005048 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2529777 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 75 395.87₸ · invest 150 771.22₸
profit on prices without salesat least −148 874 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2527665 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 75 386.39₸ · invest 150 018.22₸
profit on prices without salesat least −145 344 ₸ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2540192 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 75 233.99₸ · invest 151 247.20₸
profit on prices without salesat least −149 053 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2543147 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 74 964.92₸ · invest 154 690.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −151 857 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2532312 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 74 904.58₸ · invest 155 154.39₸
profit on prices without salesat least −155 154 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2533720 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 74 867.89₸ · invest 155 696.24₸
profit on prices without salesat least −155 696 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2536309 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 74 695.12₸ · invest 159 675.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −146 035 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166311 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004964 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2542974 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 74 574.50₸ · invest 150 426.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −148 409 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167064 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005193 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2531569 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 74 080.69₸ · invest 152 726.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −149 971 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166942 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005156 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2539223 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 74 055.66₸ · invest 163 276.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −163 276 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166942 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005156 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2525652 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 74 050.16₸ · invest 149 122.39₸
profit on prices without salesat least −146 680 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166311 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004964 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2542537 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 74 017.13₸ · invest 157 677.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −152 786 ₸ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166674 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005074 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2523136 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 73 289.10₸ · invest 153 450.19₸
profit on prices without salesat least −153 450 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166586 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005048 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2534382 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 73 034.90₸ · invest 167 442.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −160 330 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166788 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005109 instead of 0.005223

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build