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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −476.31₴

Invest at least 1 453.67₴

Average return 977.35₴

ROI −32.8%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 453.67 ₴, profit at most −476.31 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

31.09 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

72.48 ₴

at 36.24

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

480.91 ₴

at 68.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 584.48 ₴ +392.87 (+67.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

24.75 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

31.09 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

72.48 ₴

at 36.24

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

412.21 ₴

at 68.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 540.53 ₴ +348.44 (+64.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

387.25 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 993.05 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 396.58 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

125.50 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

276.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

85.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

388.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

245.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184624

50.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +182.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +295.30 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 45 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2516513 · The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 411.63₴ · invest 570.40₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165863 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075517 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2506044 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 410.36₴ · invest 585.93₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162759 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2539233 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 410.11₴ · invest 580.84₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161976 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074165 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2540983 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 407.36₴ · invest 584.45₴
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2539235 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 404.02₴ · invest 580.84₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164182 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074933 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2521147 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 403.87₴ · invest 568.34₴
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164126 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074913 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2515166 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 403.46₴ · invest 593.56₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165863 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075517 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2510825 · The Achroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 402.19₴ · invest 584.48₴
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165909 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075533 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2539765 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 400.52₴ · invest 580.21₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163765 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074788 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2527669 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 400.32₴ · invest 564.91₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165832 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075506 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2543149 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 399.46₴ · invest 571.00₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2535187 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 399.20₴ · invest 591.84₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2539236 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 398.92₴ · invest 580.84₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2535804 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 397.88₴ · invest 594.30₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2537136 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 397.73₴ · invest 565.89₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165947 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075546 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2530638 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 397.03₴ · invest 566.86₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2533027 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 396.86₴ · invest 576.70₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163940 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2543302 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 396.81₴ · invest 576.42₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2542979 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 396.73₴ · invest 574.98₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161976 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074165 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2524262 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 395.88₴ · invest 571.09₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2531574 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 395.50₴ · invest 589.05₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162132 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2541690 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 395.10₴ · invest 570.11₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166001 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075565 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2525655 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 395.07₴ · invest 573.23₴
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164313 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2542980 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 394.62₴ · invest 574.98₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2522256 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 394.31₴ · invest 578.74₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2541326 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 393.94₴ · invest 570.48₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2519120 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 393.47₴ · invest 587.65₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165882 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075524 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2518039 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 391.58₴ · invest 579.28₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2540195 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 390.66₴ · invest 575.90₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165863 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075517 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2542016 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 389.21₴ · invest 583.33₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2531575 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 388.29₴ · invest 589.05₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165835 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075508 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2537371 · The Lake Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 387.65₴ · invest 574.40₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162759 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2543659 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 386.96₴ · invest 618.95₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161857 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074124 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2531576 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 386.30₴ · invest 589.05₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165950 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075548 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2543447 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 385.69₴ · invest 590.04₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2523140 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 382.77₴ · invest 597.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2536564 · The Italy Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 382.44₴ · invest 583.33₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165863 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075517 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2526697 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 379.70₴ · invest 587.54₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166104 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075601 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2536311 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 379.36₴ · invest 619.60₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163100 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074556 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2529781 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 379.29₴ · invest 586.63₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Sure Grip (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166063 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075587 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2542542 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 378.16₴ · invest 596.44₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075476 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2532318 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 378.00₴ · invest 592.46₴
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165667 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075449 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2543636 · The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 377.40₴ · invest 583.91₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165571 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075416 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2542360 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 376.79₴ · invest 587.36₴
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165571 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075416 instead of 0.075547
Craft 2536312 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 374.97₴ · invest 619.60₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164741 instead of 0.165948; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075127 instead of 0.075547

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build