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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +22 108.71₽

Invest 39 681.76₽

Average return 61 790.47₽

ROI +55.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 97 135.74 ₽, profit at most −35 345.27 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −29 108.92 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

2 288.05 ₽

at 2 288.05

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

30 735.06 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39 681.76 ₽ +22 108.71 (+55.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

4 576.10 ₽

at 2 288.05

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

25 612.55 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36 847.30 ₽ +21 157.85 (+57.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

6 864.15 ₽

at 2 288.05

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

20 490.04 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34 012.84 ₽ +20 206.99 (+59.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

9 152.20 ₽

at 2 288.05

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

15 367.53 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 178.38 ₽ +19 256.13 (+61.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

11 440.25 ₽

at 2 288.05

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

6 658.65 ₽

at 2 219.55

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

10 245.02 ₽

at 5 122.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28 343.92 ₽ +18 305.27 (+64.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

116 139.75 ₽ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

19 934.82 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

41 044.62 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

22 717.36 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19 708.81 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21 419.96 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2543712 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 23 935.48₽ · invest 39 904.67₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074512 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003948 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2540642 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 23 168.59₽ · invest 38 046.51₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075622 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004919 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2525673 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 22 952.99₽ · invest 39 242.16₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2542032 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 22 704.43₽ · invest 38 320.98₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076797 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.005947 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2519134 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 21 902.79₽ · invest 38 745.77₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079359 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2538207 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 21 720.56₽ · invest 44 784.64₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074354 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003810 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2541346 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 21 676.12₽ · invest 38 627.38₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2522270 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 21 639.99₽ · invest 39 541.10₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080407 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009106 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2530650 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 21 606.72₽ · invest 38 401.74₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2523150 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 21 598.45₽ · invest 40 985.10₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080062 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008804 instead of 0.007781

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build