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The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +302.65₴

Invest 641.78₴

Average return 944.43₴

ROI +47.2%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 1 612.01 ₴, profit at most −667.58 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

39.08 ₴

at 39.08

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

525.04 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

77.67 ₴

at 77.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 641.78 ₴ +302.65 (+47.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −121 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

459.41 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

155.33 ₴

at 77.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

150.26 ₴

at 150.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 765.00 ₴ +248.82 (+32.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −273 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

393.78 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

155.33 ₴

at 77.67

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

300.51 ₴

at 150.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 849.62 ₴ +198.89 (+23.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −425 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

328.15 ₴

at 65.63

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

155.33 ₴

at 77.67

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

450.77 ₴

at 150.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 934.25 ₴ +148.96 (+15.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

320.44 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

867.57 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

1 020.06 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

366.15 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 656.75 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

3 485.23 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.007843

805.98 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.005882

792.47 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

697.05 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 only The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +119.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +288.15 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2525820 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 285.27₴ · invest 584.84₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.075635; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.004930
Craft 2528260 · The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 283.03₴ · invest 588.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074673 instead of 0.075635; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004088 instead of 0.004930
Craft 2528556 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 273.87₴ · invest 599.64₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074968 instead of 0.075635; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004347 instead of 0.004930

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build