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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −1 772.06₴

Invest at least 19 349.23₴

Average return 17 577.17₴

ROI −9.2%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 19 349.23 ₴, profit at most −1 772.06 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 870 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

450.20 ₴

at 450.20

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

500.25 ₴

at 500.25

Steam

×8

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

6 678.09 ₴

at 834.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 628.54 ₴ +9 948.63 (+130.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

3 601.61 ₴

at 450.20

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

834.76 ₴

at 834.76

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

1 346.82 ₴

at 1 346.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 783.19 ₴ +4 019.56 (+69.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 043.56 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

10 938.37 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 427.63 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 009.80 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 455.42 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 621.93 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2539278 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 168.86₴ · invest 8 304.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 304 ₴ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2535893 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 145.76₴ · invest 7 580.48₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 095 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2533835 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 124.81₴ · invest 7 674.02₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 674 ₴ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2542676 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 111.95₴ · invest 7 799.53₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 312 ₴ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2526812 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 012.06₴ · invest 7 674.42₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 202 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2543256 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 951.15₴ · invest 7 757.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 475 ₴ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2532425 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 946.18₴ · invest 7 802.32₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 802 ₴ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2521256 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 944.06₴ · invest 7 824.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 562 ₴ rare inputs

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162492 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074345 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2542130 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 891.52₴ · invest 7 654.44₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 423 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166090 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075596 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2540300 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 880.19₴ · invest 7 511.82₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 293 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2529905 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 870.20₴ · invest 7 490.51₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 301 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2543078 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 789.78₴ · invest 7 454.73₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 254 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2531704 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 775.18₴ · invest 7 649.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 375 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2527778 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 760.99₴ · invest 7 523.75₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 058 ₴ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2543709 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 570.23₴ · invest 7 701.65₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 475 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2543793 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 283.73₴ · invest 8 149.47₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 535 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build