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The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −261.24₴

Invest at least 483.87₴

Average return 222.63₴

ROI −54.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 483.87 ₴, profit at most −261.24 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

23.59 ₴

at 23.59

Steam

×9

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

164.60 ₴

at 18.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 188.20 ₴ +34.43 (+18.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 3%

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Vogue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

298.78 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.145999

282.15 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

193.67 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

244.00 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

243.38 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

221.81 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.79 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.01 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2530426 · The Fracture Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 36.01₴ · invest 221.56₴
SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2530361 · The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 34.98₴ · invest 186.26₴
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2530021 · The Fracture Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 34.82₴ · invest 194.10₴
UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2526889 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 33.39₴ · invest 195.17₴
G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2525886 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 32.50₴ · invest 207.81₴
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build