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The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.67$

Invest 12.89$

Average return 15.56$

ROI +20.7%

Chance of profit 63%

With float: invest at least 32.65 $, profit at most −17.09 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

0.62 $

at 0.62

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

11.15 $

at 1.39

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.12 $

at 1.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.89 $ +2.67 (+20.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

6.97 $

at 1.39

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

4.49 $

at 1.12

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.78 $

at 1.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.24 $ +0.73 (+5.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 3%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

float up to 0.068181

23.33 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

float up to 0.066363

19.99 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

11.74 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16.68 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

14.69 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090908

9.97 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2530402 · The Fracture Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2.50$ · invest 12.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163126 instead of 0.161799; StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074565 instead of 0.074104

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build