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The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +12 460.40₽

Invest 25 787.87₽

Average return 38 248.27₽

ROI +48.3%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 63 412.80 ₽, profit at most −25 164.53 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 008 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

3 024.09 ₽

at 1 008.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

1 596.38 ₽

at 1 596.38

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

21 167.40 ₽

at 3 527.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25 787.87 ₽ +12 460.40 (+48.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 228 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

4 032.12 ₽

at 1 008.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1763

1 596.38 ₽

at 1 596.38

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

17 639.50 ₽

at 3 527.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23 268.00 ₽ +10 930.87 (+47.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 517 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

5 040.15 ₽

at 1 008.03

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

3 192.76 ₽

at 1 596.38

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

10 583.70 ₽

at 3 527.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 816.61 ₽ +11 332.86 (+60.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 214 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1 008.03 ₽

at 1 008.03

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

28 223.20 ₽

at 3 527.90

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

7 243.17 ₽

at 7 243.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36 474.40 ₽ +9 872.67 (+27.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 014.75 ₽ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 897.12 ₽ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

5 979.29 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

16 796.41 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9 253.31 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11 659.69 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528726 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 14 746.81₽ · invest 22 045.34₽
profit on prices without salesat least −22 045 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162965 instead of 0.162683; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.074411
Craft 2541154 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12 668.62₽ · invest 26 464.79₽
profit on prices without salesat least −22 609 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164081 instead of 0.162683; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074897 instead of 0.074411
Craft 2522091 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12 560.22₽ · invest 29 205.95₽
profit on prices without salesat least −29 206 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164443 instead of 0.162683; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074411
Craft 2536966 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12 059.42₽ · invest 28 262.03₽
profit on prices without salesat least −26 468 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163909 instead of 0.162683; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074838 instead of 0.074411
Craft 2542497 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 11 990.49₽ · invest 30 826.85₽
profit on prices without salesat least −30 827 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163174 instead of 0.162683; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074582 instead of 0.074411
Craft 2524091 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 725.09₽ · invest 26 126.57₽
profit on prices without salesat least −23 552 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163663 instead of 0.162683; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074752 instead of 0.074411
Craft 2517935 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 575.72₽ · invest 33 898.76₽
profit on prices without salesat least −33 899 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.074411
Craft 2539617 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 422.35₽ · invest 31 893.08₽
profit on prices without salesat least −31 893 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.074411
Craft 2532186 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 402.64₽ · invest 29 952.26₽
profit on prices without salesat least −29 952 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164583 instead of 0.162683; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075072 instead of 0.074411

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build