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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −3 217.75₸

Invest at least 7 713.77₸

Average return 4 495.97₸

ROI −41.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 7 713.77 ₸, profit at most −3 217.75 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1 157.36 ₸

at 385.79

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1 695.75 ₸

at 282.63

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

389.71 ₸

at 389.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 242.82 ₸ +1 253.14 (+38.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

1 016.80 ₸

at 203.36

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

1 543.14 ₸

at 385.79

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

282.63 ₸

at 282.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 842.56 ₸ +541.57 (+19.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

771.57 ₸

at 385.79

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

847.88 ₸

at 282.63

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1 948.57 ₸

at 389.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 568.01 ₸ +1 113.28 (+31.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1 543.14 ₸

at 385.79

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

138.68 ₸

at 138.68

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1 413.13 ₸

at 282.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 094.94 ₸ +1 215.74 (+39.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 30%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 096.46 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 876.05 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

7 456.59 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 755.45 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 601.81 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +603.73 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +954.70 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2516492 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 503.44₸ · invest 1 658.57₸
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075275 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2542003 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 500.05₸ · invest 2 753.34₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2515144 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 386.76₸ · invest 3 164.04₸
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2515145 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 375.78₸ · invest 2 588.24₸
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2537121 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 350.45₸ · invest 2 461.78₸
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2523127 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 349.89₸ · invest 3 426.38₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2533016 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 347.62₸ · invest 2 830.51₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2527655 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 344.40₸ · invest 2 432.08₸
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2510808 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 343.30₸ · invest 3 021.49₸
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2510809 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 324.94₸ · invest 2 224.04₸
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2530623 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 317.58₸ · invest 2 490.84₸
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2539751 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 314.13₸ · invest 3 083.16₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2540184 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 292.34₸ · invest 2 763.03₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2543135 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 261.17₸ · invest 2 615.47₸
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2543287 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 246.92₸ · invest 2 778.69₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2540959 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 243.46₸ · invest 2 222.74₸
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2543136 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 215.43₸ · invest 1 682.68₸
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2527656 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 209.70₸ · invest 1 438.15₸
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075201 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2541311 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 208.15₸ · invest 2 599.81₸
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2524246 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 204.91₸ · invest 2 618.22₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2535169 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 204.75₸ · invest 2 519.15₸
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004802 instead of 0.004614; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2541672 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 177.40₸ · invest 2 588.67₸
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075436 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075436 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2539213 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 148.59₸ · invest 2 523.94₸
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075273

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build