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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +120.04₴

Invest 251.01₴

Average return 371.05₴

ROI +47.8%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 595.11 ₴, profit at most −224.06 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

153.76 ₴

at 38.44

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

69.09 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

28.16 ₴

at 28.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 251.01 ₴ +120.04 (+47.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

76.88 ₴

at 38.44

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

27.64 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

168.96 ₴

at 28.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.48 ₴ +115.01 (+42.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

20.26 ₴

at 20.26

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

76.88 ₴

at 38.44

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

27.64 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

140.80 ₴

at 28.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 265.58 ₴ +114.19 (+43.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

20.26 ₴

at 20.26

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

153.76 ₴

at 38.44

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

69.09 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 243.11 ₴ +119.22 (+49.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

374.19 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

358.88 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

408.17 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

249.31 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

742.97 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +71.93 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +95.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2516492 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 149.80₴ · invest 165.26₴
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165168 instead of 0.165778; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075275 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2542003 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 149.46₴ · invest 274.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164085 instead of 0.165778; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2515144 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 138.18₴ · invest 315.26₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165151 instead of 0.165778; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2515145 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 137.08₴ · invest 257.89₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161950 instead of 0.165778; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2537121 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 134.56₴ · invest 245.29₴
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2523127 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 134.50₴ · invest 341.40₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2533016 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 134.28₴ · invest 282.03₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2527655 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 133.96₴ · invest 242.33₴
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2510808 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 133.85₴ · invest 301.06₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2510809 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 132.02₴ · invest 221.60₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162205 instead of 0.165778; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2530623 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 131.28₴ · invest 248.19₴
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2539751 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 130.94₴ · invest 307.20₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2540184 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 128.77₴ · invest 275.31₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2543135 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 125.66₴ · invest 260.60₴
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2535168 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 124.86₴ · invest 323.11₴
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004614 instead of 0.004802; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2543287 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 124.24₴ · invest 276.87₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2540959 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 123.90₴ · invest 221.47₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164389 instead of 0.165778; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2543136 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 121.11₴ · invest 167.66₴
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164389 instead of 0.165778; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2527656 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 120.53₴ · invest 143.30₴
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164955 instead of 0.165778; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075201 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2541311 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 120.38₴ · invest 259.04₴
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2524246 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 120.06₴ · invest 260.88₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2541672 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 117.32₴ · invest 257.93₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075436 instead of 0.075488
Craft 2539213 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 114.44₴ · invest 251.48₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161768 instead of 0.165778; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075488

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build