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The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 365.19₴

Invest 4 886.66₴

Average return 6 251.85₴

ROI +27.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 12 022.03 ₴, profit at most −5 770.18 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3 217.14 ₴

at 402.14

Steam

×2

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 669.52 ₴

at 834.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 886.66 ₴ +1 365.19 (+27.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 699 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

804.28 ₴

at 402.14

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

1 000.50 ₴

at 500.25

Steam

×6

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

5 008.57 ₴

at 834.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 813.35 ₴ +105.92 (+1.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 642 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

2 010.71 ₴

at 402.14

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

500.25 ₴

at 500.25

Steam

×4

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

3 339.05 ₴

at 834.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 850.00 ₴ +735.56 (+12.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 164.06 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2 703.51 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Jaguar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

5 487.63 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.058499

10 938.37 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +424.74 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 157.42 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2535816 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 194.22₴ · invest 4 384.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build