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The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit at most · with float −1.07$

Invest at least 1.93$

Average return 0.86$

ROI −55.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1.93 $, profit at most −1.07 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

Dual Berettas | Stained

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3877

0.25 $

at 0.08

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1754

0.52 $

at 0.09

Steam

×1

Galil AR | O-Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1754

0.03 $

at 0.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.80 $ +0.06 (+7.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.06 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.018666

0.89 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

0.23 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Arsenic Spill

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117124

0.56 $ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Coral Bloom

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175686

0.24 $ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

0.35 $ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Shredded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

0.43 $ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

0.21 $ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

float up to 0.158300

0.18 $ 1.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Italy Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2506520 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.07$ · invest 0.81$
rare inputs

Negev | Bulkhead (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384517 instead of 0.387748; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164844 instead of 0.175457
Craft 2514803 · The Ascent Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.07$ · invest 0.80$
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested)
Craft 2534595 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.07$ · invest 0.91$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Halftone Wash (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384517 instead of 0.387748; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164844 instead of 0.175457
Craft 2516101 · The Boreal Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.07$ · invest 0.80$
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385359 instead of 0.387748; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167609 instead of 0.175457
Craft 2536493 · The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.06$ · invest 0.80$
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384151 instead of 0.387748; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163641 instead of 0.175457; Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163641 instead of 0.175457

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build