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The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −101.99₴

Invest at least 210.07₴

Average return 108.07₴

ROI −48.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 210.07 ₴, profit at most −101.99 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

10.57 ₴

at 10.57

Steam

×7

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

56.90 ₴

at 8.13

Steam

×2

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

19.07 ₴

at 9.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.54 ₴ +21.53 (+24.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

6.24 ₴

at 6.24

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

21.15 ₴

at 10.57

Steam

×7

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

56.90 ₴

at 8.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.28 ₴ +9.45 (+11.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

12.47 ₴

at 6.24

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

21.15 ₴

at 10.57

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

48.77 ₴

at 8.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82.39 ₴ +4.17 (+5.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

6.24 ₴

at 6.24

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

10.57 ₴

at 10.57

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

40.64 ₴

at 8.13

Steam

×3

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

28.60 ₴

at 9.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.05 ₴ +14.85 (+17.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Field-Tested

float up to 0.167910

101.88 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

153.02 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134328

142.71 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Pit Viper

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174029

50.06 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.12 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.98 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Italy Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2521953 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 21.64₴ · invest 87.95₴
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162244 instead of 0.162860; P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162244 instead of 0.162860
Craft 2520885 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 20.87₴ · invest 90.91₴
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162875 instead of 0.162860; P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162875 instead of 0.162860

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build