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The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −343.71₴

Invest at least 711.93₴

Average return 368.22₴

ROI −48.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 711.93 ₴, profit at most −343.71 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

21.00 ₴

at 21.00

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

253.45 ₴

at 28.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 274.45 ₴ +93.77 (+34.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

42.01 ₴

at 21.00

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

13.82 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

197.12 ₴

at 28.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 252.95 ₴ +77.57 (+30.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

126.02 ₴

at 21.00

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

11.47 ₴

at 11.47

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

41.45 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178.94 ₴ +0.75 (+0.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

105.01 ₴

at 21.00

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

55.27 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

38.83 ₴

at 38.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 199.11 ₴ +18.28 (+9.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

63.01 ₴

at 21.00

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

27.64 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

140.80 ₴

at 28.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 231.45 ₴ +61.36 (+26.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

408.17 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

249.31 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

742.97 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.038297

33.19 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +42.95 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +68.56 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Lake Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2542004 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 95.34₴ · invest 283.38₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078228 instead of 0.074940
Craft 2543605 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 93.08₴ · invest 319.00₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074369 instead of 0.074940
Craft 2531558 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 92.42₴ · invest 289.10₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076727 instead of 0.074940
Craft 2543585 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 91.17₴ · invest 322.15₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075102 instead of 0.074940
Craft 2519108 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 90.59₴ · invest 287.70₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.074940
Craft 2523128 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 88.90₴ · invest 297.98₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078228 instead of 0.074940
Craft 2536556 · The Italy Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 88.57₴ · invest 283.38₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078405 instead of 0.074940

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build