to all crafts

The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −5 458.30₸

Invest at least 73 737.70₸

Average return 68 279.39₸

ROI −7.4%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 73 737.70 ₸, profit at most −5 458.30 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4678

2 624.51 ₸

at 2 624.51

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

22 094.31 ₸

at 2 761.79

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

5 020.59 ₸

at 5 020.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 739.41 ₸ +38 539.98 (+129.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

2 759.58 ₸

at 2 759.58

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

19 332.52 ₸

at 2 761.79

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

10 041.18 ₸

at 5 020.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32 133.28 ₸ +36 523.50 (+113.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 787 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2574

3 417.12 ₸

at 3 417.12

Steam

×4

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

20 082.35 ₸

at 5 020.59

Steam

×5

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

41 889.09 ₸

at 8 377.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 65 388.56 ₸ +5 909.90 (+9.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

40 018.98 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

116 155.66 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Jaguar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

55 074.88 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.058499

109 779.52 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 only The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +28 709.59 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36 103.01 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2539479 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 36 507.94₸ · invest 29 277.48₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.469075 instead of 0.467893; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162535 instead of 0.161758
Craft 2522887 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 36 046.07₸ · invest 31 074.51₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.469015 instead of 0.467893; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162495 instead of 0.161758

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build