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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −307.42$

Invest at least 773.56$

Average return 466.13$

ROI −39.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 773.56 $, profit at most −307.42 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −269 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

44.08 $

at 14.69

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

19.02 $

at 19.02

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

252.13 $

at 42.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 315.23 $ +150.90 (+47.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

31.16 $

at 7.79

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

73.47 $

at 14.69

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1752

19.02 $

at 19.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 123.64 $ +74.17 (+60.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −422 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

14.69 $

at 14.69

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

336.18 $

at 42.02

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

86.28 $

at 86.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 437.15 $ +118.42 (+27.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −95 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

88.17 $

at 14.69

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

57.05 $

at 19.02

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

42.02 $

at 42.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.24 $ +144.74 (+77.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

500.46 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

880.22 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

52.02 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

300.10 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 only The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +111.52 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +141.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528726 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 175.66$ · invest 262.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −263 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162965 instead of 0.164081; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.074897
Craft 2522091 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 149.61$ · invest 347.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −348 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164443 instead of 0.164081; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074897
Craft 2530482 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 148.42$ · invest 307.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −298 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162683 instead of 0.164081; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074897
Craft 2536966 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 143.64$ · invest 336.64$
profit on prices without salesat least −315 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163909 instead of 0.164081; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074838 instead of 0.074897
Craft 2542497 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 142.82$ · invest 367.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −367 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163174 instead of 0.164081; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074582 instead of 0.074897
Craft 2524091 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 139.66$ · invest 311.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −281 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163663 instead of 0.164081; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074752 instead of 0.074897
Craft 2517935 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 137.88$ · invest 403.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −404 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.074897
Craft 2539617 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 136.06$ · invest 379.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −380 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.074897
Craft 2532186 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 135.82$ · invest 356.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −357 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164583 instead of 0.164081; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075072 instead of 0.074897

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build