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The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +753.49₸

Invest 6 578.69₸

Average return 7 332.18₸

ROI +11.4%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 16 406.44 ₸, profit at most −9 074.26 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

49.72 ₸

at 49.72

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

1 028.90 ₸

at 514.45

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

5 500.06 ₸

at 785.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 578.69 ₸ +753.49 (+11.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

282.03 ₸

at 94.01

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

1 028.90 ₸

at 514.45

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3 928.62 ₸

at 785.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 239.55 ₸ +671.96 (+12.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

376.04 ₸

at 94.01

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

1 028.90 ₸

at 514.45

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3 142.89 ₸

at 785.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 547.84 ₸ +653.34 (+14.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.042999

4 022.09 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

6 071.93 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.067999

23 986.70 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

2 914.89 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

834.05 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.064999

1 197.61 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 138.14 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

775.28 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 455.21 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −222.84 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +463.98 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526701 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 803.32₸ · invest 6 633.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165620 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075433 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2539771 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 801.67₸ · invest 6 781.94₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165651 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075444 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2538196 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 799.89₸ · invest 6 915.13₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162724 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074426 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2540198 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 799.01₸ · invest 6 605.33₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161549 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2543154 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 793.29₸ · invest 6 609.58₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161549 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2538197 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 791.76₸ · invest 6 959.47₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested)
Craft 2542986 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 790.31₸ · invest 6 712.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164321 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074981 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2533729 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 789.55₸ · invest 6 647.35₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165620 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075433 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2523143 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 779.77₸ · invest 6 844.90₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162724 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074426 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2543647 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 775.91₸ · invest 6 878.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165620 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075433 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2543155 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 772.85₸ · invest 6 609.58₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested)
Craft 2529786 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 764.99₸ · invest 6 578.15₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162243 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074258 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2535808 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 763.68₸ · invest 6 783.18₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested)
Craft 2519123 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 757.18₸ · invest 6 627.44₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162724 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074426 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2540199 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 754.31₸ · invest 6 605.33₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165620 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075433 instead of 0.074705
Craft 2529787 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 748.41₸ · invest 6 578.15₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164321 instead of 0.163527; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074981 instead of 0.074705

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build