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The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +54.31$

Invest 105.88$

Average return 160.20$

ROI +51.3%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 249.48 $, profit at most −89.28 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

46.73 $

at 7.79

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

44.08 $

at 14.69

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

15.07 $

at 15.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 105.88 $ +54.31 (+51.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

31.16 $

at 7.79

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

58.78 $

at 14.69

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

30.14 $

at 15.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120.07 $ +47.23 (+39.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −149 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

44.08 $

at 14.69

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

45.20 $

at 15.07

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

105.75 $

at 26.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 195.04 $ +7.77 (+4.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

20.21 $

at 10.11

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

58.78 $

at 14.69

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

60.27 $

at 15.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.26 $ +42.24 (+30.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −79 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

10.11 $

at 10.11

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

58.78 $

at 14.69

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

60.27 $

at 15.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

26.44 $

at 26.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 155.60 $ +33.01 (+21.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.057646

52.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

300.10 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103529

278.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.049411

237.45 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +50.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2531253 · The Gallery Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 56.89$ · invest 101.83$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 2538703 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 55.88$ · invest 108.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 2539951 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 54.59$ · invest 97.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 2541185 · The Recoil Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 52.81$ · invest 109.63$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 2526413 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 52.43$ · invest 98.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 2541379 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 51.50$ · invest 118.07$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build