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The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +176.74₴

Invest 187.55₴

Average return 364.30₴

ROI +94.2%

Chance of profit 82%

With float: invest at least 459.49 ₴, profit at most −95.19 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

122.81 ₴

at 17.54

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

64.74 ₴

at 21.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.55 ₴ +176.74 (+94.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

122.81 ₴

at 17.54

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

86.08 ₴

at 43.04

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

21.58 ₴

at 21.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 230.47 ₴ +167.24 (+72.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 18%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 030.08 ₴ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

335.02 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

226.50 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

314.75 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

718.67 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

297.19 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

158.50 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

83.93 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

163.91 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +111.35 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +149.06 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2539087 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 180.31₴ · invest 205.14₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2540825 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 172.09₴ · invest 215.98₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2522059 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 170.61₴ · invest 198.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build