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The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2 351.63₸

Invest 31 199.89₸

Average return 33 551.52₸

ROI +7.5%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 79 125.56 ₸, profit at most −45 574.04 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

6 234.34 ₸

at 6 234.34

Steam

×9

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

24 965.56 ₸

at 2 773.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 199.89 ₸ +2 351.63 (+7.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 412.66 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | The Traitor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088607

28 836.54 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088607

42 785.13 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088607

51 657.65 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3 218.98 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +933.55 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2517972 · The Breakout Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 2 549.15₸ · invest 35 267.51₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080552 instead of 0.079746

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build