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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +30.61$

Invest 40.98$

Average return 71.58$

ROI +74.7%

Chance of profit 67%

With float: invest at least 101.22 $, profit at most −29.63 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

27.82 $

at 5.56

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

13.16 $

at 2.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.98 $ +30.61 (+74.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

15.33 $

at 2.55

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

16.69 $

at 5.56

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

2.63 $

at 2.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.65 $ +28.23 (+81.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

7.66 $

at 2.55

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

22.25 $

at 5.56

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

7.90 $

at 2.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.81 $ +29.42 (+77.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

5.56 $

at 5.56

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

13.16 $

at 2.63

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

36.27 $

at 9.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.00 $ +25.30 (+46.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

11.13 $

at 5.56

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

13.16 $

at 2.63

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

27.20 $

at 9.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.49 $ +26.62 (+51.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

136.79 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

52.89 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139.55 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

37.76 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

32.10 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.07 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.37 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2518034 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 38.19$ · invest 29.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163316 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2532309 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 35.81$ · invest 25.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163719 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2536305 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 34.76$ · invest 49.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164236 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2543143 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.84$ · invest 25.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164922 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2533021 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.83$ · invest 29.14$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164922 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2529775 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.39$ · invest 22.42$
sells slowly

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165455 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2524254 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.30$ · invest 22.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164602 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2540968 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.28$ · invest 38.82$
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165308 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2543295 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.96$ · invest 26.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163812 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2542972 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.12$ · invest 23.25$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165205 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2537127 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.10$ · invest 21.94$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165318 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2531566 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.78$ · invest 28.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165679 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2519113 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.71$ · invest 25.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165679 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2543144 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.35$ · invest 25.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165058 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2540612 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.09$ · invest 21.87$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163316 instead of 0.164087
Craft 2543437 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.46$ · invest 33.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165358 instead of 0.164087

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build