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The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +506.22₸

Invest 4 509.69₸

Average return 5 015.91₸

ROI +11.2%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 11 081.54 ₸, profit at most −6 065.64 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

282.63 ₸

at 282.63

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

3 117.71 ₸

at 389.71

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1 109.35 ₸

at 1 109.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 509.69 ₸ +506.22 (+11.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −92 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

282.63 ₸

at 282.63

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2 727.99 ₸

at 389.71

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

657.92 ₸

at 657.92

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

1 109.35 ₸

at 1 109.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 777.89 ₸ +202.01 (+4.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 096.46 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 876.05 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

7 456.59 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081499

3 306.97 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

10 846.00 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

3 963.32 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3 466.63 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −281.28 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +157.89 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2508924 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 459.49₸ · invest 4 908.33₸
outcome without sales rare inputs

AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074366; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074366

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build