The CS20 Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −165 565.10₸

Invest at least 528 888.11₸

Average return 363 323.00₸

ROI −31.3%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 528 888.11 ₸, profit at most −165 565.10 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 645 ₸

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −44 936.14 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0095

30 651.65 ₸

at 30 651.65

Steam

×4

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0095

195 636.59 ₸

at 48 909.15

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 226 288.24 ₸ +137 034.76 (+60.6%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −48 530 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

61 303.30 ₸

at 30 651.65

Steam

×3

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

146 727.45 ₸

at 48 909.15

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 208 030.74 ₸ +102 282.30 (+49.2%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 414 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

91 954.94 ₸

at 30 651.65

Steam

×2

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

97 818.30 ₸

at 48 909.15

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 189 773.24 ₸ +67 529.78 (+35.6%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 299 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

122 606.59 ₸

at 30 651.65

Steam

×1

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

48 909.15 ₸

at 48 909.15

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 171 515.74 ₸ +32 777.31 (+19.1%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 37%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 081.53 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441 593.80 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 201.85 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154 748.75 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

398 337.65 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

499 912.89 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86 357.80 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

481 285.43 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

787 413.97 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

451 459.81 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

499 998.83 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483 246.70 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

425 122.40 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

720 008.99 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

436 496.85 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

407 953.75 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

702 526.72 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

274 675.30 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 215 516.91 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 190 285.20 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100 488.77 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

444 507.01 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 345.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175 855.27 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

144 446.80 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

107 542.19 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

154 452.35 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

130 154.13 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

300 980.15 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 246.63 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

167 558.17 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

804 701.55 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

101 631.54 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

164 525.65 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

93 614.21 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +122 962.40 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +135 904.96 ₸ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544837 · The Snakebite Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 144 690.23₸ · invest 222 214.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 853 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2544840 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 144 690.23₸ · invest 222 214.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 853 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2545727 · The Vanguard Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 137 995.38₸ · invest 247 831.67₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 883 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010039 instead of 0.009565
Craft 2545729 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 137 995.38₸ · invest 247 831.67₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 883 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010039 instead of 0.009565
Craft 2544541 · The Snakebite Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 137 034.77₸ · invest 226 288.24₸
profit on prices without salesat least −25 645 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2545379 · The Snakebite Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 136 128.30₸ · invest 229 726.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −33 691 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.009565
Craft 2545381 · The Huntsman Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 136 128.30₸ · invest 229 726.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −33 691 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.009565
Craft 2545673 · The Snakebite Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 135 359.94₸ · invest 250 467.11₸
profit on prices without salesat least −25 518 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008933 instead of 0.009565
Craft 2545675 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 135 359.94₸ · invest 250 467.11₸
profit on prices without salesat least −25 518 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008933 instead of 0.009565
Craft 2545155 · The Snakebite Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 133 961.16₸ · invest 225 636.57₸
profit on prices without salesat least −26 423 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.009565
Craft 2545157 · The Fracture Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 133 961.16₸ · invest 225 636.57₸
profit on prices without salesat least −26 423 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.009565

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build