The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +16.80$

Invest 454.90$

Average return 471.70$

ROI +3.7%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 999.55 $, profit at most −527.86 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −276 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −87.44 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

115.55 $

at 115.55

Steam

×2

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1820

116.89 $

at 58.45

Steam

×2

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0811

222.46 $

at 111.23

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 454.90 $ +16.80 (+3.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −237 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

231.10 $

at 115.55

Steam

×3

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1735

175.34 $

at 58.45

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 406.44 $ +13.78 (+3.4%)

What you get 52 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 49%
About break-even 18%

Order

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

544.94 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

539.39 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

290.11 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

500.16 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

250.06 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

237.99 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

229.09 $ 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

658.19 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

752.90 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

1 112.66 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

709.96 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

215.53 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

1 096.20 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

500.44 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

500.16 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

828.53 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

376.79 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

309.70 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

217.67 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

364.83 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

1 550.00 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

1 114.82 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

1 520.87 $ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

762.75 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

1 148.12 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

1 230.39 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

805.25 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

756.24 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

266.91 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

114.22 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175.03 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

139.45 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

80.52 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

85.67 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

107.20 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

68.14 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

79.75 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

64.54 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

51.16 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

51.68 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

210.07 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

86.28 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

119.92 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

108.96 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

71.35 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

72.10 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

230.07 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

102.90 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

172.39 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

134.59 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

80.04 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

80.52 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 115.55 → 249.59 $

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) × 2 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 116.89 → 258.33 $

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) × 2 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 222.46 → 491.63 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.107692208

outcomes come out up to 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.069999, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.069999, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −38.58 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544864 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 16.80$ · invest 454.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −276 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 52 outcomes

More

How to build