The Wildfire Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +59 810.80₴

Invest 70 877.72₴

Average return 130 688.52₴

ROI +84.4%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 166 758.00 ₴, profit at most −36 069.48 ₴

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 11.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −54 988.32 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

4 233.24 ₴

at 4 233.24

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

66 644.48 ₴

at 16 661.12

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 70 877.72 ₴ +59 810.80 (+84.4%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.1% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 628 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

16 932.97 ₴

at 4 233.24

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

16 661.12 ₴

at 16 661.12

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 33 594.09 ₴ +9 558.89 (+28.4%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 62%
Above the Steam cap 11%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 459.32 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 716.57 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 360.65 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 924.93 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 619.24 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 495.96 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

119 176.52 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 072.36 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 448.95 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 029.45 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 092.52 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 558.68 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 405.98 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 488.80 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 318 931.42 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

418 668.00 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 536.81 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

963 312.85 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 604.54 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 666.67 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 084.48 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 005.44 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 215.49 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 473.09 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

13 375.59 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

65 079.88 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

49 510.55 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 529.66 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 934.09 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 114.69 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 766.63 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

3 767.99 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +57 944.73 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58 912.04 ₴ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 35 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544705 · The Glove Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 65 842.33₴ · invest 70 451.42₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007083 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2544706 · The Clutch Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 65 842.33₴ · invest 70 451.42₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007083 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545277 · The Recoil Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 65 330.37₴ · invest 70 859.90₴
sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545278 · The Glove Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 65 330.37₴ · invest 70 859.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2544421 · The Glove Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 63 014.96₴ · invest 76 431.45₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2544422 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 63 014.96₴ · invest 76 431.45₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2544793 · The Glove Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 61 972.57₴ · invest 69 292.71₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2544794 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 61 972.57₴ · invest 69 292.71₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545271 · The Phoenix Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 61 549.96₴ · invest 71 600.71₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545272 · The Glove Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 61 549.96₴ · invest 71 600.71₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545297 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 61 526.09₴ · invest 71 624.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006434 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545298 · The Glove Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 61 526.09₴ · invest 71 624.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006434 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545293 · The Vanguard Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 61 305.50₴ · invest 71 845.17₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006989 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545294 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 61 305.50₴ · invest 71 845.17₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006989 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2544507 · The Glove Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 61 209.79₴ · invest 69 698.59₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2544508 · The CS20 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 61 209.79₴ · invest 69 698.59₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545261 · The Huntsman Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 61 119.47₴ · invest 70 041.13₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545262 · The Glove Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 61 119.47₴ · invest 70 041.13₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545281 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 61 042.91₴ · invest 72 107.76₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006434 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545282 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 61 042.91₴ · invest 72 107.76₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006434 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545133 · The Glove Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 60 903.53₴ · invest 69 633.66₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545134 · The Fracture Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 60 903.53₴ · invest 69 633.66₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2544341 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 60 517.00₴ · invest 72 633.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2544342 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 60 517.00₴ · invest 72 633.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545299 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 60 029.11₴ · invest 73 121.56₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005961 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545300 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 60 029.11₴ · invest 73 121.56₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005961 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545275 · The Prisma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 59 884.72₴ · invest 70 631.95₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545276 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 59 884.72₴ · invest 70 631.95₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545296 · The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 59 810.80₴ · invest 70 877.72₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2545265 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 59 642.85₴ · invest 76 547.42₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545266 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 59 642.85₴ · invest 76 547.42₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545229 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 59 563.83₴ · invest 73 308.33₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006858 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545230 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 59 563.83₴ · invest 73 308.33₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006858 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545263 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 59 259.77₴ · invest 70 149.36₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2545264 · The Glove Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 59 259.77₴ · invest 70 149.36₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build