The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −10 761.11₴

Invest at least 47 214.65₴

Average return 36 453.53₴

ROI −22.8%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 47 214.65 ₴, profit at most −10 761.11 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −725 ₴

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −1 678.08 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

16 861.68 ₴

at 4 215.42

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

3 396.65 ₴

at 3 396.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 258.33 ₴ +16 195.20 (+79.9%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 465 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

12 646.26 ₴

at 4 215.42

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

6 793.31 ₴

at 3 396.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 19 439.57 ₴ +11 984.30 (+61.6%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 205 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

8 430.84 ₴

at 4 215.42

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

10 189.96 ₴

at 3 396.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 18 620.80 ₴ +7 773.40 (+41.8%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 24.6% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 945 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

4 215.42 ₴

at 4 215.42

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

13 586.61 ₴

at 3 396.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 802.03 ₴ +3 562.49 (+20.0%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 29%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 964.86 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 000.17 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 976.85 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 419.08 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 690.15 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 811.06 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 604.65 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 955.03 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

78 457.52 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 983.22 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 819.62 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

48 150.45 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 358.97 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 741.32 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 492.32 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 648.30 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 999.39 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 368.50 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121 113.47 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 599.39 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 012.65 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 290.45 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 766.63 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 522.13 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

13 720.20 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

14 518.68 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

27 984.39 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

23 418.96 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

27 783.04 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 305.29 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 036.74 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 742.72 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

5 696.10 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15 045.51 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16 054.54 ₴ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544819 · The Recoil Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 17 048.31₴ · invest 19 509.92₴
sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.009459
Craft 2544822 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 17 048.31₴ · invest 19 509.92₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.009459
Craft 2544527 · The Recoil Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 16 285.52₴ · invest 19 915.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.009459
Craft 2544529 · The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 16 285.52₴ · invest 19 915.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.009459
Craft 2545367 · The Huntsman Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 16 195.20₴ · invest 20 258.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −725 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2545601 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 16 118.64₴ · invest 22 324.96₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.009459
Craft 2545602 · The Recoil Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 16 118.64₴ · invest 22 324.96₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.009459
Craft 2545143 · The Recoil Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 15 979.27₴ · invest 19 850.86₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 2545145 · The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 15 979.27₴ · invest 19 850.86₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 2544361 · The Recoil Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 15 592.73₴ · invest 22 850.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −437 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009459
Craft 2544362 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 15 592.73₴ · invest 22 850.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −437 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009459

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build