The Wildfire Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −427.94$

Invest at least 1 227.27$

Average return 799.33$

ROI −34.9%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 1 227.27 $, profit at most −427.94 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −86 $

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −130.48 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

94.04 $

at 94.04

Steam

×4

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

433.04 $

at 108.26

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 527.08 $ +272.25 (+51.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −166 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

188.08 $

at 94.04

Steam

×3

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

324.78 $

at 108.26

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 512.86 $ +164.24 (+32.0%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −246 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

282.12 $

at 94.04

Steam

×2

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

216.52 $

at 108.26

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 498.64 $ +56.24 (+11.3%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 36%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

265.80 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

977.46 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

266.07 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

342.53 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

881.71 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 106.55 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

191.15 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 065.32 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 742.93 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

999.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 106.74 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 069.66 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

941.00 $ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 593.73 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

966.18 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

903.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 555.03 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

607.99 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 690.53 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 634.68 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

222.43 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

983.91 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

416.90 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

389.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

226.94 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

232.66 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

297.14 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 445.75 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 099.87 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

211.70 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

376.19 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

202.48 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

416.90 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

83.71 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +246.15 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +268.47 $ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544371 · The Snakebite Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 287.93$ · invest 566.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010562 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2544372 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 287.93$ · invest 566.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010562 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545743 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 277.10$ · invest 576.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008046 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545744 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 277.10$ · invest 576.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008046 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545583 · The Snakebite Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 273.89$ · invest 521.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −53 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545585 · The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 273.89$ · invest 521.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −53 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545733 · The Snakebite Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 272.25$ · invest 527.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −86 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2545443 · The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 268.52$ · invest 653.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −118 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545445 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 268.52$ · invest 653.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −118 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545247 · The Snakebite Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 266.76$ · invest 581.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −97 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.009770 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545248 · The Gamma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 266.76$ · invest 581.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −97 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.009770 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545413 · The Snakebite Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 260.00$ · invest 510.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2545415 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 260.00$ · invest 510.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build