The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit · with float −5 449.70₴

Invest 11 292.84₴

Average return 5 843.14₴

ROI −48.3%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest 11 292.84 ₴, profit −5 449.70 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −5 453.63 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 3 contracts · medium (by listings)

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

any lot

3 885.81 ₴

at 1 942.90

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

any lot

4 683.24 ₴

at 2 341.62

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Battle-Scarred

any lot

2 680.95 ₴

at 2 680.95

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 11 250.00 ₴ −5 406.85 (−48.1%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 8%
Losing outcome 85%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

10 187.60 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

7 205.06 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

5 736.04 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

9 109.94 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

4 755.89 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 529.73 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

12 213.23 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

4 871.28 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 913.65 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

5 265.92 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

4 825.17 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

17 522.13 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

13 816.89 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

11 392.22 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

7 767.42 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

4 678.47 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

9 934.33 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 266.13 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 199.90 ₴ 1.54%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

9 249.27 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 083.09 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 217.13 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

3 599.50 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 731.77 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 3 885.81 → 3 905.24 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 4 683.24 → 4 706.66 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 2 680.95 → 2 680.95 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.904000000

outcomes come out up to 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.000000, 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6 288.21 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −5 656.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2547522 · The Horizon Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −5 125.56₴ · invest 11 721.06₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2547527 · The CS20 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit −5 125.56₴ · invest 11 721.06₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2547478 · The Gallery Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −5 140.30₴ · invest 10 568.90₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2547482 · The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −5 140.30₴ · invest 10 568.90₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2547704 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −5 406.57₴ · invest 13 075.08₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2547709 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −5 406.57₴ · invest 13 075.08₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2547663 · The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −5 406.86₴ · invest 11 250.00₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build