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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −15.05₴

Invest at least 48.61₴

Average return 33.56₴

ROI −31.0%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 48.61 ₴, profit at most −15.05 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

9.64 ₴

at 1.61

Steam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

8.03 ₴

at 2.68

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

2.90 ₴

at 2.90

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 20.57 ₴ +12.99 (+63.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

1.61 ₴

at 1.61

Steam

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

14.51 ₴

at 2.90

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

23.71 ₴

at 5.93

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 39.82 ₴ +20.94 (+52.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

3.21 ₴

at 1.61

Steam

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

14.51 ₴

at 2.90

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

17.78 ₴

at 5.93

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 35.50 ₴ +19.82 (+55.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

4.05 ₴

at 1.35

Steam

×6

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

9.64 ₴

at 1.61

Steam

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

2.68 ₴

at 2.68

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 16.36 ₴ +0.87 (+5.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

4.82 ₴

at 1.61

Steam

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

14.51 ₴

at 2.90

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

11.85 ₴

at 5.93

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 31.18 ₴ +18.70 (+60.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

9.32 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

7.37 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.46 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8.09 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

57.26 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

69.67 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

112.37 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.032899

65.25 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.59 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2603260 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 16.03₴ · invest 21.13₴
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Slide (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074686 instead of 0.074040; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074686 instead of 0.074040
Craft 2603342 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 12.99₴ · invest 21.85₴
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Slide (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build