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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit at most · with float −20.49₴

Invest at least 64.70₴

Average return 44.21₴

ROI −31.7%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 64.70 ₴, profit at most −20.49 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

7.55 ₴

at 3.77

Steam

×7

Nova | Morning Sun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

14.65 ₴

at 2.09

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

4.93 ₴

at 4.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.13 ₴ +17.08 (+62.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

15.10 ₴

at 3.77

Steam

×5

Nova | Morning Sun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

10.47 ₴

at 2.09

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

4.93 ₴

at 4.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.50 ₴ +13.27 (+43.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 5%

in profit

FAMAS | Snake Song

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

39.67 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

44.50 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

40.54 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Sultan

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.68 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Converter

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

80.51 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

float up to 0.011999

31.85 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

43.58 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Check Engine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

39.29 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.95 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2608403 · The Arabesque Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 16.87₴ · invest 27.35₴
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) instead of R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build