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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −79.10₴

Invest at least 182.86₴

Average return 103.76₴

ROI −43.3%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 182.86 ₴, profit at most −79.10 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

31.85 ₴

at 31.85

Steam

×9

M249 | Bock Blocks

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

43.37 ₴

at 4.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.22 ₴ +28.54 (+37.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

109.25 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

78.08 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

134.91 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

84.58 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

77.90 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

203.55 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.037499

599.08 ₴ 3.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

159.67 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.23 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.07 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build