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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −451.86₽

Invest at least 1 890.30₽

Average return 1 438.44₽

ROI −23.9%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 1 890.30 ₽, profit at most −451.86 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

297.50 ₽

at 59.50

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

126.56 ₽

at 63.28

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

387.51 ₽

at 129.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 811.57 ₽ +626.87 (+77.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 42%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

1 056.87 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.021874

1 118.98 ₽ 16.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

298.23 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

700.19 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 470.42 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 530.00 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

234.24 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +333.96 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +483.67 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2634391 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 642.46₽ · invest 589.67₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.162942; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074501
Craft 2623813 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 617.88₽ · invest 817.35₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161665 instead of 0.162942; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074501
Craft 2630277 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 585.75₽ · invest 800.45₽
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163177 instead of 0.162942; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074583 instead of 0.074501
Craft 2634393 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 579.98₽ · invest 589.67₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166170 instead of 0.162942; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075624 instead of 0.074501
Craft 2638322 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 549.85₽ · invest 664.58₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.162942; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074501
Craft 2617158 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 540.27₽ · invest 670.23₽
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.162942; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074501
Craft 2626597 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 508.17₽ · invest 739.59₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163918 instead of 0.162942; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074841 instead of 0.074501
Craft 2628057 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 497.08₽ · invest 634.38₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162898 instead of 0.162942; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074501

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build