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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −1 140.60₸

Invest at least 4 722.09₸

Average return 3 581.49₸

ROI −24.1%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 4 722.09 ₸, profit at most −1 140.60 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

458.55 ₸

at 229.27

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

580.74 ₸

at 116.15

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 006.31 ₸

at 335.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 045.60 ₸ +1 535.89 (+75.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 556.29 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 854.97 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 290.10 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 970.85 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 949.42 ₸ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 531.30 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

22 388.95 ₸ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 968.52 ₸ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 038.32 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 363.66 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2601709 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 1 757.03₸ · invest 1 190.68₸
P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074380 instead of 0.076021
Craft 2601755 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 1 748.22₸ · invest 1 440.79₸
SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076923 instead of 0.076021

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build