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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −963.66₽

Invest at least 1 726.09₽

Average return 762.43₽

ROI −55.8%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 1 726.09 ₽, profit at most −963.66 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

AUG | Random Access

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

117.19 ₽

at 117.19

Steam

×6

Galil AR | Galigator

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4932

370.74 ₽

at 61.79

Steam

×3

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

240.00 ₽

at 80.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 727.93 ₽ +34.50 (+4.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

AUG | Random Access

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

117.19 ₽

at 117.19

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

127.48 ₽

at 127.48

Steam

×6

Galil AR | Galigator

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4932

370.74 ₽

at 61.79

Steam

×2

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

160.00 ₽

at 80.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 775.41 ₽ +13.57 (+1.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1 399.83 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

563.98 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

575.00 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

2 095.52 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

207.56 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Breakout Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −58.82 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.92 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2621322 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 37.91₽ · invest 700.74₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Well-Worn) instead of AUG | Random Access (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Galigator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.493258; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.168089
Craft 2621526 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 35.94₽ · invest 725.13₽
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) instead of AUG | Random Access (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Galigator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478263 instead of 0.493258; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161819 instead of 0.168089

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build